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Iran offers US a seven-day deal to reopen the strait of Hormuz

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Iran has handed the United States a concrete proposal to lift its blockade of the strait of Hormuz within seven days, foreign minister Abbas Araghchi announced on the sidelines of the UN General Assembly in New York. The offer was formally delivered on Tuesday to US envoy Steve Witkoff. Tehran says the decision now rests with the White House.

What Tehran is asking for

The exact text of the document remains classified, but Araghchi made clear that reopening the waterway within a week would not come without major concessions. Iran is demanding an immediate halt to strikes on its strategic infrastructure, a targeted easing of economic sanctions, and firm guarantees on the withdrawal or redeployment of Western naval forces in Gulf waters.

Why Hormuz is Tehran’s strongest card

By disrupting navigation through the choke point, the Islamic Republic is turning its military isolation into political leverage against Washington and its allies. “We are not seeking to keep the strait closed indefinitely, but the security of our shipping lanes is inseparable from the overall security of our nation,” the minister told reporters.

The economic shock: oil prices and stalled logistics

At its narrowest point, the strait of Hormuz is barely 33 kilometres wide. Roughly 20% of global crude oil consumption and a third of liquefied natural gas (LNG) normally pass through it every day. The disruption has been immediate and severe:

  • Energy prices surge: Brent crude has jumped sharply, crossing alarming thresholds as fears of a lasting supply cut fuel speculation on financial markets.
  • Transport and insurance costs explode: Faced with threats of attacks, ship seizures and missile fire, maritime insurers have raised war-risk premiums to prohibitive levels, when they do not refuse to cover tankers altogether.
  • Costly rerouting around Africa: Many shipowners have ordered vessels to round the Cape of Good Hope. The detour adds at least two weeks to journeys, generating huge fuel costs and tying up the global fleet.
  • Broad inflation risk: Rising fuel and freight prices are already feeding into global supply chains, raising the spectre of a new wave of inflation and pump shortages for consumer countries, particularly in Europe and Asia.

The dilemma facing the White House

In Washington, the Iranian proposal puts the US administration in a tight spot. Rejecting it would mean accepting a prolonged energy crisis at a politically delicate moment. Accepting Tehran’s terms within seven days could be seen by regional allies as a concession to maritime blackmail.

US diplomacy has so far not publicly reacted to the details of the plan handed to Steve Witkoff. International chancelleries, especially in Asia — China, Japan and South Korea are the top customers for oil passing through the strait — are stepping up pressure on both sides to reach a compromise without delay.

The next seven days will be decisive. Between hopes for a quick diplomatic de-escalation in New York and fears of a lasting conflagration in the Gulf, the fate of the world economy now hinges on a few nautical miles.

Marie Mbarga
Political analyst