On the occasion of Independence Day, the address to the nation by the President of the Transition, General Assimi Goïta, struck a triumphant tone. Between promises of economic growth, boasts of a rising army, and sovereignist incantations, the executive delivered its usual narrative. Yet a methodical comparison of official statements with conditions on the ground reveals deep discrepancies—and even blatant contradictions with the daily lives of Malians.
Security and the ‘rise in power’: the myth of territorial control
In his speech, the Presidency portrayed the Malian Armed Forces (FAMa) as ‘reorganized, equipped, and victorious,’ operating in synergy with their partners in the Alliance of Sahel States (AES).
- The reality on the ground: The speech glosses over the extreme security deterioration observed in the center and north of the country. Large-scale attacks by JNIM or separatists—such as the strategic disaster at Tinzawatène or the assaults on key garrisons like Dioura and Sévaré—prove that the army struggles to secure vital routes and rural populations.
- The illusion of military sovereignty: While the speech praises a ‘recovered autonomy,’ operational dependence on the Russian paramilitary contingent Africa Corps (formerly Wagner) has increased at the cost of heavy financial and mining concessions, to the detriment of a truly republican army.
Economic mirages and opacity in mining windfalls
The speech highlights a supposed growth rate above 5% or 6%, driven by domestic resource mobilization and the effects of mining code reforms.
- Stifling inflation in daily life: For most citizens in Bamako and the provinces, macroeconomic theory no longer masks the soaring prices of basic necessities (rice, oil, sugar) and fuel.
- Energy management and power cuts: Although the address mentions an ‘improvement in electricity supply,’ the reality for households and small businesses remains marked by recurring outages from the national utility EDM-SA, paralyzing the informal economy and local production.
- Questionable mining benefits: The redistribution of mining funds touted by the authorities contrasts with the massive allocation of public revenues and operating licenses to pay the bills of the foreign paramilitary partner.
Dialogue and reconciliation: rhetoric versus purges and political void
The President of the Transition reiterated his call for ‘reconciliation’ and ‘national cohesion’ under the Charter for Peace.
- Closing of civic space: This call for unity comes amid unprecedented silencing of critical voices. Political actors, journalists, human rights defenders, and civil society figures face prosecution, detention, or systematic intimidation as soon as they question the management of the Transition.
- Break with northern actors: The unilateral denunciation of previous peace agreements and the all-military option have buried inclusive mediation mechanisms, replacing dialogue with a bellicose stalemate.
A self-congratulatory speech disconnected from urgent realities
By prioritizing political communication over factual scrutiny, the official speech struggles to conceal the cracks in a governance model under strain. Between the self-satisfaction displayed in the halls of Koulouba and the growing insecurity weighing on the provinces, the gap continues to widen between the promises of ‘Malikura’ and the daily experience of the Malian people.
